We defeated Mahinda. 'We' means social media here. It was one of the major factors of his defeat although none of the present government has identified it and thanked us. It was hard work, lots of bytes and biting.
There are so many other 'we's in almost all the households of the island who can claim for Maithree's victory. So many people took the pain of converting people and keeping up their morale. It was not easy. 
We elected Maithreepala Sirisena as President. He said he would not contest again. Thanks. He does not want to show up too much. Do your job and retire. We are ahead of the 100 day programme.
But I have serious doubts of the good governance now. Somarathna Disanayaka has been appointed as the Chairman of national television. Why not Dharmasiri Bandaranayaka or Prasanna Vithanage? No. They will not beg for positions. Somarathna and his likes know too well to appease the bigwigs. They know how to kneel down and beg. Nothing to do dear. There must be somebody to chair the national television. There are better names like Ganganath  but I think they are vying for better positions. Let them go.
Rupavahini has lot of problems. They don't have scheduled programmes to telecast, for instance, as one employee told us. Winning back the viewers is another challenge.
The government must understand this. Don't frustrate your campaigners in social media and in every household. They will make you cry soon. Remember, there is a general election coming ahead.
We will safeguard the victory to the extent you keep up with your promises. One said Somarathna is shit on the white swan. Somarathna was one of the hate mongers against the progressive artistes of this country.
We will not allow the dictator to re-emerge but your fate is in your hand. Govern good as you promised but it is not sufficient.
If you do not bring the corrupt ex-leaders to book, you will have to repent.
Saturday, January 10, 2015
Wednesday, December 31, 2014
Salman Khan's pathetic stunt in Sri Lankan politics
![]()  | 
| Khan with President's son Namal Rajapaksha | 
Khan was seen in the political rallies of President Mahinda Rajapaksa who is
rapidly losing popularity and in the path of possible defeat at January 08
Presidential.
On the day the President and his all powerful elder son Namal Rajapaksha welcomed Salman Khan and appeared in rallies with him, a group of young and popular Sri Lankan artists were brutally assaulted by the goons connected to the government.
Several artists were hospitalized due to this attack led by a ruling party
Provincial Councillor.
Opposition claimed Salman Khan has been paid Rs. 700 million for his public
appearance in President Mahinda Rajapaksha's Presidential campaign.
However, the government said Khan had come to Sri Lanka to donate eye lenses and explore the opportunities to help the flood victims. Minister Dallas Alahapperuma said that he had come with his own expenses.
However, Khan's tour wrongly scheduled ended promptly on December 29th adding misery to the President's failing campaign.
One of Salman Khan's escort vehicles ran over two children, reports say, seriously injuring them.
In one of the rallies ruling party MP Thilanga Sumathipala wrongly introduced
Salman Khan as Sharuk Khan.
Monday, December 29, 2014
President Mahinda Rajapaksha's hooligans attack artists repeatedly in Sri Lanka
This video is evident for the situation in Sri Lanka ahead of President Mahinda Rajapaksha's seemingly inevitable defeat.
This set of mostly young artists who have named themselves as New Generation was brutally attacked by a gang of hooligans wearing T-shirts of Blue Brigade led by President's son Namal Rajapaksha as they were holding a public rally in Kumbukgate in Kurunegala district.
The goons were led by North Western Provincial Councilor Kamal Indika.
Elderly vocalist Lakshman Wijesekara was flung on the ground and beaten. Young actress Samanali Fonseka, vocalist Kasun Kalhara and activist lawyer Udul Premarathna were also attacked.
Meanwhile, President's son Namal Rajapaksha was sitting abreast Hindi movie star Salmon Khan on political platforms in Colombo city with beaming smile. In one rally, the compere introduced Salmon as Sharukh Khan and Namal tried to correct him. (The video is shown below)
Rumors say that Salmon Khan is paid several millions of rupees to perform in President Mahinda Rajapaksha's political platforms. The opposition criticizes this extravaganza of the President Mahinda Rajapaksha in a time hundreds of thousands of people are affected in floods.
Another group of artists led by vocalist Jayathilaka Bandara was beaten twice at Eppawala in Anuradhapura district and at Hambanthota by the hooligans led by the regional politicians of the ruling party. It is interesting to study the body language of President's son Namal Rajapaksha in the following video.
This set of mostly young artists who have named themselves as New Generation was brutally attacked by a gang of hooligans wearing T-shirts of Blue Brigade led by President's son Namal Rajapaksha as they were holding a public rally in Kumbukgate in Kurunegala district.
The goons were led by North Western Provincial Councilor Kamal Indika.
Elderly vocalist Lakshman Wijesekara was flung on the ground and beaten. Young actress Samanali Fonseka, vocalist Kasun Kalhara and activist lawyer Udul Premarathna were also attacked.
Meanwhile, President's son Namal Rajapaksha was sitting abreast Hindi movie star Salmon Khan on political platforms in Colombo city with beaming smile. In one rally, the compere introduced Salmon as Sharukh Khan and Namal tried to correct him. (The video is shown below)
Rumors say that Salmon Khan is paid several millions of rupees to perform in President Mahinda Rajapaksha's political platforms. The opposition criticizes this extravaganza of the President Mahinda Rajapaksha in a time hundreds of thousands of people are affected in floods.
Another group of artists led by vocalist Jayathilaka Bandara was beaten twice at Eppawala in Anuradhapura district and at Hambanthota by the hooligans led by the regional politicians of the ruling party. It is interesting to study the body language of President's son Namal Rajapaksha in the following video.
Post by Newsfirst.lk.
Monday, August 04, 2014
Legal Avenues to Prosecute a US Citizen for War Crimes-The Case of Gotabaya Rajapaksa - By Ryan Goodman
Road Map II: Legal Avenues to Prosecute a US Citizen for War Crimes-The
Case of Gotabaya Rajapaksa - By Ryan Goodman
Wednesday, July 30, 2014 at 1:13 PM
This is the second post arising out of a presentation I made at a congressional
briefing earlier this month on issues of accountability in Sri Lanka. The
analysis below is also drawn from my opening remarks, and the further
refinement of my ideas in light of discussions following the briefing. 
[The first "road map" dealt with more general issues of
accountability in Sri Lanka: "Road Map I: What More Congress (and the
Administration) Can Do to Promote Accountability in Sri Lanka"] 
Here I highlight the various laws that might assist the Justice Department
and other agencies in prosecuting US citizen, Gotabaya Rajapaksa. In another
post back in May, I described some of the evidence in the public record about
his alleged involvement in mass war crimes-for which the US government is
interested in seeking accountability. 
Sometimes the cover-up is more easily proven than the crime. And Gotabaya
may also be guilty of witness tampering. At the end of this post I therefore
include a detailed, "Timeline: Was US Citizen Gotabaya Rajapaksa Involved
in Witness Tampering in a US War Crimes Inquiry? You Decide." 
The following analysis may be helpful to members of Congress as well as
the administration. The Justice Department and other agencies are not able to
comment on ongoing investigations. Accordingly, it would be helpful, I imagine,
if members of Congress simply sent a letter to relevant offices within the
administration expressing interest and hope that they will pursue with full
rigor any information and all legal avenues that establish criminal or civil
liability for the most serious violations of US federal law by individuals
subject to our jurisdiction. 
So, what legal avenues might be available to the administration in the
case of Gotabaya? 
A. Justice Department
1. Criminal Liability: War Crimes Act
As discussed in previous posts by Beth Van Schaack (here) and by me
(here), the most obvious federal criminal statute is the War Crimes Act of
1996, which applies to U.S. citizens like Gotabaya. 
2. Civil/criminal liability: Civil RICO
If there were insufficient evidence for a criminal indictment (e.g.,
intercepts that could not be produced at trial), the Justice Department could
also consider pursuing civil liability. Consider, for example, Civil RICO - a
vehicle for addressing organized criminal activity including international crimes.
Here is a sample of predicate offences (i.e., forms of
"racketeering") which might apply to Gotabaya: 
1) Torture committed by a US citizen abroad of foreign nationals [18 U.S.
Code § 2340A] 
2) Serious bodily harm or murder of any Sri Lankan with (dual) US
nationality committed outside the United States [18 U.S. Code § 2332] 
3) Tampering with a witness or an informant [18 U.S. Code § 1512] 
4) Retaliation against a witness or an informant [18 U.S. Code § 1513] 
The last two on the list deserve elaboration with respect to how they
might apply to Gotabaya. For that purpose, see the Timeline below. 
[Of course these predicate acts for the purpose of RICO could also be
prosecuted as independent charges under federal criminal law. The purpose of
the present analysis is to identify potential civil liability, to which RICO
lends itself.] 
B. Justice Department and other agencies
1. IRS: Tax evasion
The Al Capone strategy: It may be worthwhile to investigate Gotabaya's
assets compared to any tax documents that he might -or might not - have filed
with the IRS as a US citizen living abroad. 
2. DHS - Human Rights Violators and War Crime Unit: Immigration fraud. 
As with past successes in similar cases (see also here and here), the
government might prosecute Gotabaya for failure to disclose material
information-involvement in past crimes-in his application for U.S. citizenship.
The key here is conduct prior to his acquisition of citizenship. For
example, consider that in December 2012, excavators uncovered a mass grave in
the Matale district dating back to the Sri Lankan Army's counterinsurgency
operations in the late 1980s. What has that to do with Gotabaya? He was
Coordinating Officer of the Matale District and the Commanding Officer of the
1st Battalion, Gajaba Regiment during the late 1980s. 
In sum, the menu of options for prosecuting Gotabaya is not short. Now
let's turn to the timelin ...
Timeline: Was US Citizen Gotabaya Rajapaksa Involved in Witness Tampering
in a US War Crimes Inquiry? You Decide
1. May 18, 2009 
Gotabaya may have ordered the commander of the army's 58th Division to
execute all surrendering members of the LTTE leadership at the close of the
civil war (widely known as the "white flag" incident and discussed in
State Department reports to Congress). 
2. October 28, 2009 
Sri Lanka's then-Army Chief Sarath Fonseka (who happens to be a long-term
permanent resident of the United States) was in the United States on a personal
visit. He was contacted by the Department of Homeland Security to schedule a
special interview and was reportedly told by the DHS that "the intention
behind the request for the interview is to use him 'as a source against human
rights violations done by Secretary/Defence.'" The interview was scheduled
for November 4. [See also here] 
3. November 2, 2009
In person and in an aide memoire, Sri Lanka's Foreign Minister told the US
Ambassador in Sri Lanka that the interview should not take place and that
"the Department of Homeland Security should forthwith desist from any
endeavor in this direction." 
4. On or before November 4, 2009
Fonseka left the United States before the scheduled interview. 
5. December 13, 2009
In an interview with the newspaper The Sunday Leader concerning the white
flag incident, Fonseka stated that Gotabaya had given the order on May 18, 2009
that "they must all be killed." 
6. December 14, 2009
Fonseka confirmed and confided the same information about Gotabaya to the
US Ambassador. 
7. February 8, 2010
Fonseka made a statement that he was prepared to testify in international
courts about the war crimes. As the BBC reported: 
"Gen Fonseka had said he was prepared to give evidence in
international courts on any war crimes charges brought in relation to the civil
war. 'I am definitely going to reveal what I know, what I was told and what I
heard. Anyone who has committed war crimes should definitely be brought into
the courts,' Gen Fonseka said." 
Later that day Foneska was arrested by military police (under the
jurisdiction of Gotabaya). 
8. February-May 2010 
The Sri Lankan military brought court martial proceedings against Fonseka.
The government also filed a separate civil charge against Fonseka on the ground
that he had incited unrest due to his interview with The Sunday Leader. 
9. May 5, 2010
Speaking to reports inside Parliament, Fonseka stated: "I will go out
of my way to expose anyone who has committed war crimes;" "I will not
protect anyone, from the very top to the bottom;" he said the government
was "hell bent" on silencing him. [Agence France-Presse] 
10. May 6, 2010 
In an interview with a national newspaper, Gotabaya reacted to Fonseka's
willingness to assist an international war crimes investigation. Gotabaya
stated: "Any Sri Lankan promoting an agenda which is detrimental to the
country is nothing but a traitor," he referred to Fonseka's effort to fast
track a "sinister campaign" in supporting an international war crimes
probe, and he said such tratiors deserve capital punishment. 
To this day, Gotabaya's interview is proudly displayed on his Department
of Defense's website with the title, "Traitors should be given Capital
punishment.' [This is also consistent with another statement by Gotabaya to the
BBC, "I am not allowing any investigations in this country. There is no reason.
Nothing wrong happened in this country."] 
11. June 6, 2010
In an interview with BBC's Hardtalk, Gotabaya was told that Fonseka said
he would testify against Gotabaya before an independent war crimes
investigation. Gotabaya responded: 
"He can't do that. He was the commander.... That is a treason. We
will hang him if he do[es] that." 
[also discussed in State Dep't report to Congress] 
12. November 18, 2010
A Colombo High Court found Fonseka guilty of spreading the "white
flag" rumor, which "could arouse communal feelings," and
sentenced him to three years' imprisonment. 
[The State Department's report suggests the trial was illegitimate] 
13. May 21, 2012
Fonseka is released from prison. 
14. Now 
You decide. Is the case against Gotabaya worth pursuing? 
My take: The US government has poured its credibility into promoting
accountability in Sri Lanka. The United States now cannot afford to stand by
when its own citizen is directly interfering with prospects for independent war
crimes investigations. 
Saturday, August 02, 2014
How meaningful are Jayalalitha's love letters to Narendra Modi? (The article that caused a diplomatic blunder from the part of Sri Lanka)
By Shenali D Waduge 
Hell hath no fury like a woman scorned they say 
   and that aptly puts to context the feelings of Jayalalitha towards 
   Sri Lanka. But, the BJP high powered delegation led by Dr. 
   Subramaniam Swamy who arrived in Sri Lanka at the invitation of the 
   Bandaranaike Centre for International Studies recently made 
   explicitly clear that Tamil Nadu would not come between Indo-Lanka 
   relations and also thanked the Sri Lankan President for arresting 
   but releasing the Indian fishermen while confiscating the boats. It 
   was the boat owners that forced the Indian fishermen to poach into 
   Sri Lankan waters because the Indian side had no fish. These are 
   some realities that the Chief Minister of Tamil Nadu cannot ignore 
   and her tantrums are dampening the otherwise positive outlook of the 
   Modi-led BJP Government. She should be advised to stop her tantrums 
   and start looking at how the Indian fishermen can be absorbed into a 
   new avenue of livelihood if there are no fish to fish in Indian 
   waters. 
The International Maritime Border Line drawn up in 
   1974 and 1976 is a bilateral agreement between India and Sri Lanka 
   and Tamil Nadu Chief Minister can cry and hoot but she cannot change 
   the legality of this agreement honored by the 2 sovereign nations. 
Katchchetivu came under the jurisdiction of Sri 
   Lanka following the IMBL and Sri Lanka's claim to Katchchaitivu was 
   made in 1924 while as far back as 1876 the island was referred to as 
   belonging to Sri Lanka even the colonial invaders regarded the 
   island as belonging to Sri Lanka. 
Thus, with a bilateral agreement in place it is 
   Tamil Nadu fishermen who are violating the IMBL and the arrest of 
   fishermen poaching into Sri Lankan waters cannot be faulted on Sri 
   Lanka. 
We realize that the issue at hand is as a result 
   of the Indian side of the marine bed affected as a result of 
   internationally banned bottom trawling. It is because commercial 
   fishing has ignored to look after the source from which it makes 
   money that there are no fish on Indian waters along the Tamil Nadu 
   coast. Sri Lanka is not to be blamed because there are no fish in 
   the Indian waters. The Tamil Nadu Government must take blame for 
   allowing internationally banned bottom trawlers to operate. 
We are well aware that India had been making 
   millions from poaching into Sri Lankan waters using bottom trawlers 
   and stealing the shrimps, prawns and fish that ideally belong to the 
   fishermen of Sri Lanka. These poached fish calculated into years 
   would account for theft and loss of millions of revenue to Sri 
   Lanka. This cannot go on not just because it is a violation of 
   territorial rights, theft of fish that do not belong to India but 
   more importantly the manner of fishing will end up totally ruining 
   the marine environment and destroying marine life and eventually 
   lead to no fish on Sri Lankan waters as well. 
The environmental impact and future of marine life 
   is what should take prominence in any diplomatic discussions. 
The Tamil Nadu Government and its Chief Minister 
   should accept fault on several angles. 
Tamil Nadu fishermen violating internationally 
   recognized IMBL and bilateral agreement between India and Sri Lanka 
Tamil Nadu fishermen using bottom trawlers that 
   are internationally banned 
Tamil Nadu coast marine bed destroyed because of 
   bottom trawling and so no fish for the Indian fishermen to fish 
If the Indian coast had no fish as a result of the 
   Indian fishermen destroying the marine life, should the Tamil Nadu 
   authorities have taken measures to look into how the Indian 
   fishermen and their families would survive? The solution is not to 
   poach on waters that belong to other nations. It is not a long time 
   solution or a viable solution. It is as a result of Tamil Nadu 
   authorities not taking to account these realities that their 
   fishermen are facing a predicament of no livelihood and Sri Lanka 
   cannot be blamed for this. 
Would Indian fishermen be allowed to poach in 
   territorial waters that belong to other nations just because the 
   Tamil Nadu Chief Minister comes out with a list of reasons giving 
   them right to? 
The BJP Government is commended for taking a stand 
   and appreciated for approving the measures taken by Sri Lanka in 
   arresting and releasing the Indian fishermen but confiscating the 
   boats. Tamil Nadu seem to have forgotten that it is the Sri Lankan 
   Tamil fishermen whose livelihood was affected as a result of Tamil 
   Nadu fishermen poaching on Sri Lankan waters. The TNA ever ready to 
   find fault with the Sri Lankan Government has not come to the rescue 
   of its own fishermen or brought up the grievance of the Sri Lankan 
   fishermen denied livelihood and this speaks volumes of the sincerity 
   of the TNA towards its own people too. 
With the latest letter of the Tamil Nadu Chief 
   Minister directed at demanding the release of the boats, we can but 
   wonder whether some of these may belong to her or her supporters!
When Tamil Nadu Chief Minister is aware that the 
   Tamil Nadu fishermen are violating internationally demarcated waters 
   and poaching while also using internationally banned bottom 
   trawlers, it is unjustified to ask the Indian Prime Minister to take 
   action against Sri Lanka. Obviously she is attempting to dent the 
   popularity of the Indian Prime Minister while also disturb the amity 
   that is being built between the two nations. Her actions are 
   obviously aligned to the undiplomatic and unscrupulous policies 
   followed by the Sonia-led Congress Government where the Central 
   Government of India was virtually kept strangulated and on a noose 
   by successive Tamil Nadu Governments. 
Tamil Nadu Chief Minister may learn sooner than 
   later that Narendra Modi is not a puppet to dance to her tantrums or 
   threats. She should not attempt to embarrass Mr. Modi by her 
   unjustified outbursts. It will not look good on the new Indian Prime 
   Minister if he were to demand that Indian fishermen be allowed to 
   cross the IMBL into Sri Lankan waters is this the mischief that 
   Jayalalitha is upto? 
With the Modi mantra directed towards better and 
   practical governance it is best that Tamil Nadu Chief Minister 
   directs her attention at how to meet the livelihood challenges of 
   Indian fishermen who have no fish to fish on Indian waters. Poaching 
   is not the solution. 
Monday, July 21, 2014
Is deporting Pakistan national refugees from Sri Lanka a diplomatically ethical move?
Sri Lanka Controller of Immigration and Emigration
Chulananda Perera said that all overstaying foreign nationals including the
Pakistan and Afghan nationals who had applied for refugee status would be
deported. 
Deporting overstaying foreigners is normal but how ethical
is deporting who have sought refugee status from a third party while
overstaying in Sri Lanka as a temporary measure. 
Last week, the government took steps to deport five Afghan
nationals who had been overstaying in Sri Lanka, said the Controller of Immigration
and Emigration. 
He further stated that there were 1450 Pakistan nationals
and 40 Afghan nationals overstaying. They have applied for refugee status from
the UNHCR office of Colombo and their applications are being processed. 
They expect to migrate into another country after their
application for political asylum is accepted. 
Sri Lanka police has already arrested some of these Pakistan
and Afghan nationals. They are held in Boossa and Mirihana detention centers
and interrogated to find any links with terrorism. 
Many of these Pakistan nationals belong to Ahmadiyya Muslim
sect and they claim that they are under constant threat of the mainstream Sunni
Muslims. Pakistan is a Sunni Muslim state that has prohibited practicing Ahmadiyya
Islam. Ahmadiyya Muslims are constantly under threat of attack. 
Sri Lanka has not signed the international conventions
regarding accepting refugees from other countries but it contributes to mass
exodus of refugees from the home country bound developed nations. 
The refugees from Pakistan arrive here, obtain on arrival
visa, apply for refugee status from UNHCR office of Colombo and overstay here
for years sometime until the understaffed UNHRC office processes their
applications and grant them visa to migrate to another country.  The practice of deporting them is very
unethical. They can be economic migrants per se the claim of the Pakistan
government. What if they are actually threatened people?
Sri Lanka government compelled to do so, I think, due to
pressure from the Indian government. Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi said
as he met the Sri Lankan President after his swearing in ceremony that the
Muslim extremists who are in Sri Lanka are a threat to Indian security. 
Sri Lanka government says that Muslim extremists also arrive
in Sri Lanka under the guise of threatened communities. 
Sunday, July 20, 2014
Logical base for Sinhalese's fear of Muslim domination
I found this blog post when searching for the Sinhala and Muslim demographic statistics.
I think this article logically presents the fears the Sinhala Buddhists have and the extremists use to spread communal hatred.
I think that the leftists and other progressive elements that struggle for ethnic harmony and peace must consider these facts in their search for a more pragmatic approach in progressive politics.
    
  
I think this article logically presents the fears the Sinhala Buddhists have and the extremists use to spread communal hatred.
I think that the leftists and other progressive elements that struggle for ethnic harmony and peace must consider these facts in their search for a more pragmatic approach in progressive politics.
Is there a Muslim Issue in Sri Lanka? An Objective Analysis
(adapted from —discourssions blog)
There is a verbal and action packed tug
 of war in Sri Lanka these days between its people ideologically divided
 into two opposite groups on this particular question. It has already 
created a pandemonium, even among political parties, and it was reported
 Muslim Congress is considering resigning from the government coalition, for government’s inefficiency to address the issue.
However, one of the salient features of 
this debate is that no party or a person to the question was able to put
 forward facts to support their positions rather than placing their 
ideological positions on just opinions and claims. It has become a 
battle of words, not facts.
In this backdrop, I think it is prudent 
to submit an objective analysis, so that everybody can make use as a 
common base to understand the question (if there one) and to formulate 
solutions.  I think proper identification of the question is the first  
essential stepping stone for a proper solution.
One of the allegations against the Muslim
 community of Sri Lanka is that they have a higher population growth 
rate that would be a threat to the other communities of the country. 
However, though this is a thing that is verifiable with ease,  no one 
has opted for that alternative rather than engaged in a blind quarrel.
So with the available demographic statistics of Sri Lanka, we will undertake the task.
Please go through the following link.
There the table-1 is Population of Sri Lanka by ethnic group 1871 to 2012 and the table-2 is Population of Sri Lanka by religion 1881 to 2012.
The last census of the country was held in 2012 and the previous one to it  was held in 1981. Statistics given in the tables for 1989 and 2001 are estimates and therefore do  not represent exact figures.
Following data is from the table-1
| 
 
Sinhalese (no) 
 | 
 
Sri Lankan Moors (no) 
 | 
||
| 
 
1981 Census 
 | 
 
10,979,400 
 | 
 
1,886,900 
 | 
 
1,046,900 
 | 
| 
 
2012 Census 
 | 
 
15,173,820 
 | 
 
2,270,924 
 | 
 
1,869,820 
 | 
Above population changes were taken place during the 31 years between 2012 and 1981.
Now we will calculate the (average) population growth rates of the ethnic groups.
Sinhalese — [(15,173,820-10,979,400)/ 10,979,400/31] x100     = 1.2323%
SL Tamils — [(2,270,924-1,886,900)/1,886,900/31] x100             = 0.6565%
SL Moors — [(1,869,820-1,046,900)/1,046,900/31] x100             = 2.5357%
According to the above, population growth rate 
of Moor community is over two (2) times of Sinhalese and almost four (4)
 times of Tamils.
Therefore it is apparent that if these 
ethnic population growths continue, the Moor community of Sri Lanka 
passes the populations of SL Tamils one day and Sinhalese some time 
after that.
Population growths follow Exponential Progressions.
With the use of Mathematics, it 
can be shown that Moor population in Sri Lanka will surpass the Tamil 
community in ten and a half years (10.5 years) and Sinhalese community 
in 163.65 years. *****
Now look at the Table-2 of the above link.
| 
 
1981 Census 
 | 
 
10,288,300 
 | 
 
2,297,800 
 | 
 
1,121,700 (7.56%) 
 | 
 
1,130,600 (7.62%) 
 | 
| 
 
2012 Census 
 | 
 
14,222,844 
 | 
 
2,554,606 
 | 
 
1,967,227 (9.71%) 
 | 
 
1,509,606 (7.45%) 
 | 
At the glance of the table you 
will be able to see that Muslims have already surpassed Christians 
during the period under  consideration.
Now as we did for the communities in the above we will calculate the growth rates of religions.
Buddhist—[(14,222,844-10,288,300)/ 10,288,300/31] x100 = 1.2336%
Hindu— [(2,554,606-2,297,800)/ 2,297,800/31] x100           = 0.3605%
Muslim—[(1,967,227 -1,121,700)/ 1,121,700/31] x100         = 2.4153%
Now applying the Mathematical 
formula as before, we can conclude that Muslim religion will pass Hindus
 in 12. 89 years and Buddhists will be passed in 170.45 years.
Another salient feature that should be 
noted is that though the most of the Malay community in Sri Lanka are 
Muslims, their population is declining. Their population has declined 
from 47,000 to 40,189 during the period under consideration.
Now the concerned parties can use these objective data in their action for  planning a violence free peaceful country.
*******************************************************************************************************************************
Mathematics
For instance say, this year’s population of a particular community is “A” and the growth rate is d,
If present population is denoted by T0, population after one (1) year is denoted by T1, 2nd year by T2….. and so on, Then,
T0=A
T1=A+Ad=———————–          =A(1+d)
T2=A(1+d)+ A(1+d)x=A(1+d)(1+d)———–=A(1+d)to the power 2
T3=A(1+d)(1+d)+ A(1+d)(1+d)d————-=A(1+d)to the power 3
…………..
…………..
Similarly,
Tn=————————————–=A(1+d)to the power n
That is if one community overtakes the other community in “n” years, Tn for both communities must be equal.
Now suppose, present Moor, Tamil and 
Sinhalese populations as a, b and c respectively and their growth rates 
as x, y and z respectively.
Now when Moors overtake Tamil population,
a(1+x) to the power n = b(1+y) to the power n
Therefore, b/a = (1+x) to the power n/ (1+y) to the power n
That is b/a = {(1+x)/ (1+y)} to the power n
Therefore, log (b/a) = log [{(1+x)/ (1+y)} to the power n]
Therefore, log (b/a) = n log {(1+x)/ (1+y)}
Therefore, n = log (b/a)/ log {(1+x)/ (1+y)} —————-(X)
  
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